Posts tagged Iran
The Navigator’s September Issue — Out Now
The Navigator’s September Issue — Out Now

This month’s briefs examine a shifting Indo-Pacific security architecture, where expanding defence partnerships meet growing uncertainty over traditional alliances. New Zealand’s move to acquire strike drones highlights a more operational Pacific security landscape, while South Korea’s experience exposes the limits of “model allyship” with Washington. Alongside this, our regional review explores how states are adapting to a less predictable strategic environment.

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News9DL9DASHLINE, US, United States, China, Japan, South Korea, New Zealand, Cook Islands, Samoa, South China Sea, India-Pakistan, India, Pakistan, France, New Caledonia, Cambodia, Pacific Islands, Vanuatu, Tuvalu, Tonga, PNG, Papua New Guinea, Trump, Myanmar, Elections, Iran, LNG, Energy, Sri Lanka, Arctic, Russia, Europe, Lithuania, Taliban, Afghanistan, Women's rights, Drones
The Navigator’s August issue — out now
The Navigator’s August issue — out now

The August edition of THE NAVIGATOR is now available, delivering in-depth analysis, up-to-date information, and a comprehensive look at the Indo-Pacific region. This month we examine a region facing mounting pressure on multiple fronts. From extreme climate shocks and economic strain to shifting security partnerships and great-power competition, governments across the Indo-Pacific are increasingly focused on resilience, adaptability, and domestic stability.

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News9DL9DASHLINE, US, United States, China, Japan, South Korea, New Zealand, Cook Islands, Samoa, South China Sea, India-Pakistan, India, Pakistan, France, New Caledonia, Cambodia, Pacific Islands, Vanuatu, Tuvalu, Tonga, PNG, Papua New Guinea, Trump, Myanmar, Elections, Iran, LNG, Energy, Sri Lanka, Arctic, Russia, Europe, Lithuania, Taliban, Afghanistan, Women's rights
The Navigator’s July issue — out now
The Navigator’s July issue — out now

This month, we examine EU engagement with the Taliban, where Chris Fitzgerald argues that efforts to curb irregular migration risk undermining the bloc's longstanding commitment to human rights and international law. As Europe weighs strategic pragmatism against its normative identity, Fitzgerald asks what is sacrificed when geopolitical priorities take precedence over democratic values.

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News9DL9DASHLINE, US, United States, China, Japan, South Korea, New Zealand, Cook Islands, Samoa, South China Sea, India-Pakistan, India, Pakistan, France, New Caledonia, Cambodia, Pacific Islands, Vanuatu, Tuvalu, Tonga, PNG, Papua New Guinea, Trump, Myanmar, Elections, Iran, LNG, Energy, Sri Lanka, Arctic, Russia, Europe, Lithuania, Taliban, Afghanistan, Women's rights
The Navigator’s June issue — out now
The Navigator’s June issue — out now

This month’s brief examines Taiwan–Lithuania relations, where shared experiences of external pressure have driven closer political and tech cooperation. Five years on from Vilnius hosting Taiwan’s Representative Office, the relationship remains strongest politically, while delivering more limited economic outcomes — highlighting the challenge of turning strategic alignment into tangible shared success. Alongside this, our regional review explores an Indo-Pacific defined by fragmentation and adaptation.

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News9DL9DASHLINE, US, United States, China, Japan, South Korea, Australia, New Zealand, Cook Islands, Samoa, South China Sea, India-Pakistan, India, Pakistan, France, New Caledonia, Cambodia, Pacific Islands, Vanuatu, Tuvalu, Tonga, PNG, Papua New Guinea, Trump, Myanmar, Elections, Iran, LNG, Energy, Sri Lanka, Arctic, Russia, Europe, Lithuania
New Episode - Energy shocks and strategic choices: How Southeast Asia is navigating turbulence in the Middle East
New Episode - Energy shocks and strategic choices: How Southeast Asia is navigating turbulence in the Middle East

In this episode, Zsuzsa Anna Ferenczy and Richard Heydarian are joined by Dr. Huong Le Thu of the International Crisis Group for a timely discussion on how Southeast Asia is responding to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Together, they explore how the crisis is being interpreted across the region, from differing diplomatic positions and domestic political pressures to the growing impact of energy shocks and disruptions to global shipping routes.

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News9DLEPinASEAN, 9DASHLINE, Zsuzsa Anna Ferenczy, Richard Heydarian, Indo-Pacific, ASEAN, European Parliament, The Bridge, Southeast Asia, China, India, Association of the Southeast Asian Nations, European Parliament in ASEAN, Huong Le Thu, Energy shocks and strategic choices: How Southeast Asia is navigating turbulence in the Middle East, Middle East, Iran
The Navigator’s May issue — out now
The Navigator’s May issue — out now

May highlights a defining trend across the Indo-Pacific: economic pressure and strategic competition are increasingly intertwined, as heatwaves, energy shocks, and supply-chain strain drive states to hedge more actively in a fragmented global order. This month’s feature examines Europe’s growing “strategic self-containment” in its China policy, reflecting a wider pattern of anticipatory restraint as states recalibrate under geopolitical pressure.

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News9DL9DASHLINE, US, United States, Indo-Pacific, China, Japan, South Korea, Australia, New Zealand, Cook Islands, Samoa, South China Sea, India-Pakistan, India, Pakistan, France, New Caledonia, Cambodia, Pacific Islands, Vanuatu, Tuvalu, Tonga, PNG, Papua New Guinea, Trump, Myanmar, Elections, Iran, LNG, Energy, Sri Lanka, Arctic, Russia, Europe
Stabilised risk: Thailand’s patronage-technocrat alliance under the 2026 oil shock
Stabilised risk: Thailand’s patronage-technocrat alliance under the 2026 oil shock

Written by Apipol Sae-Tung 

The regime’s institutional architecture is designed for continuity, but the energy crisis has introduced a level of volatility that requires a more agile and transparent response than the regime’s patronage-driven conservative roots traditionally allow.

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Southeast Asia9DLStabilised risk: Thailand’s patronage-technocrat alliance under the 2026 oil shock, 9DASHLINE, Apipol Sae-Tung, Thailand, Oil, Iran, Bhumjaithai Party, BJT, Anutin Charnvirakul, Phiphat Ratchakitprakarn, Middle East, Oil Fuel Fund
The Navigator’s April issue — out now
The Navigator’s April issue — out now

This month’s brief examines a system under increased strain: as conflict in the Middle East drives energy shocks and exposes fragile supply chains, Indo-Pacific states are navigating growing constraints — hedging across partners, absorbing economic pressure, and exploring alternative routes such as the Arctic’s emerging “Polar Silk Road” to preserve access, resilience, and strategic flexibility.

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News9DL9DASHLINE, US, United States, Indo-Pacific, China, Japan, South Korea, Australia, New Zealand, Cook Islands, Samoa, South China Sea, India-Pakistan, India, Pakistan, France, New Caledonia, Cambodia, Pacific Islands, Vanuatu, Tuvalu, Tonga, PNG, Papua New Guinea, Trump, Myanmar, Elections, Iran, LNG, Energy, Sri Lanka, Polar Silk Road, Arctic, Arctic Silk Road, Russia
Caught off guard? The strategic implications of the Iran war for India
Caught off guard? The strategic implications of the Iran war for India

Written by Chiara Boldrini

At the international level, India’s carefully cultivated claim to speak on behalf of the Global South is being progressively undermined by its repeated failure to engage substantively with crises that bear directly on the normative principles it has historically espoused.

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South Asia9DLCaught off guard? The strategic implications of the Iran war for India, Chiara Boldrini, 9DASHLINE, India, Iran, Iran war, United States, Israel, fuel shortages, multi-alignment, Prime Minister Modi, Gulf region, IRIS Dena, Chabahar Port, BRICS, Operation Sankalp, Indian Navy
The Navigator’s March issue — out now
The Navigator’s March issue — out now

This month we examine a world under pressure: as conflict in the Middle East disrupts energy flows, Indo-Pacific states confront constrained choices, balancing neutrality, domestic stability, and external dependencies. From political resets in Nepal and Bangladesh to energy rationing in Sri Lanka and heightened strategic signalling across East and Southeast Asia, March highlights how governments are adapting in real time to a more interconnected and volatile global order.

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News9DL9DASHLINE, US, United States, Indo-Pacific, China, Japan, South Korea, Australia, New Zealand, Cook Islands, Samoa, South China Sea, India-Pakistan, India, Pakistan, France, New Caledonia, Cambodia, Pacific Islands, Vanuatu, Tuvalu, Tonga, PNG, Papua New Guinea, Trump, Myanmar, Elections, drones, Iran, Israel, LNG, Energy, Sri Lanka
Diplomacy in an age of disruption: The EU-China summit
Diplomacy in an age of disruption: The EU-China summit

Written by Gunnar Wiegand

While major breakthroughs are unlikely, progress on economic issues is possible and could help restore a measure of stability and predictability for companies and citizens on both sides.

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Europe and the Indo-Pacific9DLDiplomacy in an age of disruption: The EU-China summit, Gunnar Wiegand, 9dashline, China, European Union, EU, World Economic Forum, European Parliament, Nato, Europe, ASEAN, FDI, EV, Comprehensive Agreement on Investment, CAI, Beijing, Ursula von der Leyen, Xi Jinping, G7, Middle East, Gaza, Iran, Russia, Moscow, Kaja Kallas, Munich Security Conference, Ukraine, south china sea, East China Sea, Taiwan, UNCLOS, Philippines, Japan, German Marshall Fund, GMF
Indonesia in BRICS: New chapter or familiar story?
Indonesia in BRICS: New chapter or familiar story?

Written by Dominique Fraser and Dr Premesha Saha

Indonesia will need to ensure that it carefully balances its commitments to BRICS alongside its responsibilities and obligations within ASEAN and its existing relationships with Western nations like the US and the EU.

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Southeast Asia, Faultlines9DLIndonesia, BRICS, China, Russia, Indonesia in BRICS: New Chapter or Familiar Story?, Dominique Fraser, Premesha Saha, United States, Global South, EU, Prabowo Subianto, Jokowi, IMF, New Development Bank, NDB, Brazil, Ethiopia, Iran, UAE, United Nations, Asia Society Policy Institute, Observer Research Foundation, ORF
China’s cautious quest to draw Afghanistan back into the fold
China’s cautious quest to draw Afghanistan back into the fold

Written by Sarah Godek

By increasing relations at a slower pace, China’s government makes a safer long-term bet on Afghanistan that forgoes short-run gains to ensure greater security that could protect longer-term benefits in the future.

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Emerging Issues9DL9DASHLINE, China’s cautious quest to draw Afghanistan back into the fold, Sarah Godek, Afghanistan, China, Taliban, United Nations, UN, interconnectivity, connectivity, Taliban-led Afghanistan, trade, 2023 Amu Darya oil basin contract, China’s Belt and Road Initiative, BRI, Chinese government, United States, US, agriculture, critical materials, copper, lithium, Taliban ambassador, Foreign Minister Wang Yi, Taliban’s political commissar, 20th Party Congress, Kabul, terror, terror attacks, Zhao Xing, Hamid Karzai, Ashraf Ghani, peace, US withdrawal, US withdrawal from Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iran, Central Asia, peace through engagement, mining, Mes Aynak mine, mineral reserves, cotton, pine nut, Xi Jinping, Tajikistan President Emomali Rahmon, China-Tajikistan-Afghanistan corridor, Kazakhstan, trans-Afghan railway project, cargo, China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), Vice Chairman of Tibet, Tibet, SCO, UNSC travel bans, Taliban officials, dialogue, sanctions, noninterference, internal affairs, China-Afghanistan ties, Wakhan Corridor, CPEC, suicide bombings, Taliban takeover of Afghanistan, Islamic State-Khorasan Province (ISKP), Al Qaeda, Eastern Turkistan Islamic Movement
Counter-insurgency dynamics in Balochistan: Examining militant surrenders and resurgences
Counter-insurgency dynamics in Balochistan: Examining militant surrenders and resurgences

Written by Sajid Aziz

The twin threats of separatist movement and militancy by religious-ethnic groups in Pakistan and Iran, respectively, have been perennial sources of mistrust, mutual accusations, frequent border skirmishes, and the recent military strikes and counter-strikes between the two states.

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Faultlines9DL9DASHLINE, Sajid Aziz, Counter-insurgency dynamics in Balochistan: Examining militant surrenders and resurgences, Pakistan, Balochistan, Sarfaraz Bangulzai, Baloch Nationalist Army (BNA), surrender, Balochistan’s separatist movement, separatism, separatist militant organisation, independence, Baloch Republican Army (BRA), United Baloch Army (UBA), Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR), Pakistan’s armed forces, Gulzar Imam, military, intelligence, Baloch Liberation Army (BLA), Baloch Liberation Front (BLF), violence, Baloch, securitised, Demobilisation, Babar Yousaf, armed struggle, counter-insurgency, fighters, militants, insurgency, amnesty, decapitation strategy, infighting, terrorism, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KPK), Baloch Raaji Aajoi Sangar (BRAS), middle class, Fedayeen attacks, Majeed Brigade, security forces, Panjgur and Nushki districts, Chinese nationals, suicide attacks, human rights violations, Voice for Baloch Missing Persons (VBMP), UN Working Group on Enforced Disappearances, Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI), Iran-Pakistan border, Iran, Gwader, Chahbar, port, Tehran, Islamabad, human smuggling, drug trafficking, Tehreek-i-Taliban Pakistan, China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC)
BRICS Plus: India’s perspective on the group’s expansion
BRICS Plus: India’s perspective on the group’s expansion

Written by Rishma Banerjee

Given the broader context of India’s rivalry with China, and its tightrope act of balancing ties between Russia and the West, New Delhi’s support for the six new BRICS members reflects its broader strategic and geopolitical interests.

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Editor's Picks9DL9dashline, BRICS Plus: India’s perspective on the group’s expansion, BRICS, BRICS Plus, BRICS expansion, Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Argentine, Ethiopia, Egypt, Iran, Saudi Arabia, UAE, eligibility criteria, New Delhi, Global South, geopolitical interests, strategic partnership, bilateral relations, Prime Minister Modi, African Union, regional bloc, AU, foreign policy, international forums, G20, I2U2 grouping, strategic partnerships, Middle East, INSTC, IMEEC, oil, oil imports, energy security, diaspora, Comprehensive Strategic Partnership, Gulf region, strategic autonomy, bilateral trade, GCC, BRICS platform, US-India nuclear deal, New Delhi Declaration, Chabahar Port, global economic output, global governance, oil-producing nations, BRICS Interbank Cooperation Mechanism, BRICS Pay digital payment platform
Strategic competition in the South Pacific and its implications for New Zealand
Strategic competition in the South Pacific and its implications for New Zealand

Written by Dr Reuben Steff

While China’s activities are concerning, it should be made clear to Beijing that NZ’s and others’ responses in the security sphere are dependent on China’s approach to the region.

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Pacific9DLStrategic competition in the South Pacific and its implications for New Zealand, Dr Reuben Steff, 9Dashline, South Pacific, New Zealand, China, US, Australia, Fiji, Solomon Islands, Strategic competition, security order, Russia, Japan, South Korea, Camo David, Papua New Guinea, South Africa, Iran, Syria, shatterbelt, spheres of influence, Wellington, security partner, Solomons-China security agreement, Wang Yi, Jacinda Ardern, Penny Wong, Andrew Little, Military status of forces agreement, New Zealand Defence Force, 9dashline, Reuben Steff
China’s uncertain future as a global security provider
China’s uncertain future as a global security provider

Written by Lukas Fiala

The key question is whether Xi’s growing assertiveness and inadequacy of existing means to ensure the security of Chinese entities abroad will lead to a more pronounced security footprint over the coming decade, featuring new military base arrangements and, potentially, institutionalised security guarantees.

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Faultlines9DLChina’s uncertain future as a global security provider, Lukas Fiala, 9DashLine, China, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Beijing, Global South, security, mediator, Riyadh, Tehran, Middle East, Washington, diplomacy, isolation, COVID-19, pandemic, United States, China’s overseas security strategy, strategy, foreign policy, Chinese Communist Party (CCP), Chinese Communist Party (CCP) General Secretary Xi Jinping, mediation, peace and security, peace broker, non-state actors, intrastate conflicts, statist approach, Ukraine, Russia, Israel, Palestine, security and defence cooperation, Hu Jintao, United Nations peacekeeping (UNPK) missions, South Sudan, Mali, Africa, Latin America, multilateral, Forum on China-Africa Cooperation, Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), military base in Djibouti, Global Security Initiative (GSI), security actor, US-led global security order, global security governance, UN Charter, indivisible security, sovereignty, 1975 Helsinki Accords, Vladimir Putin, NATO expansion, NATO, Russia’s war in Ukraine, Western imperialism, imperial history, Western colonial powers, century of national humiliation, Soviet Union, Responsibility to Protect (R2P), Western hegemony, principle of non-interference, non-aligned movement, Cold War, non-intervention, 干涉, 干预, security provider, Sudan, Libya, ‘Go Out Strategy’ (走出去战略), Chinese state-owned enterprises, natural resources, raw materials, multilateral lenders, development finance, human rights, good governance, 2008 Beijing Olympics, al-Bashir regime, African Union, Darfur, Libyan civil war, People’s Liberation Army’s (PLA), Wolf Warrior Diplomacy, Chinese interests, power projection, security-development nexus, liberal peace, developmental peace, Ethiopia, civil war, Pakistan, South Asia, China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, Islamic extremism, Islamabad, sovereign lender, arbiter, Abiy Ahmed, Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), Horn of Africa, Xue Bing, Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF), Rapid Support Forces (RSF), Saudi-Iran rapprochement, Iraq, Afghanistan, global war on terror, piracy, Gulf of Aden, 9dashline