Posts in Pacific
Lessons from Chinese government interference in Australia
Lessons from Chinese government interference in Australia

Written by James Laurenceson

Lancaster University’s Andrew Chubb pinpoints the big lesson from Australia’s experience with Chinese government interference: the risks must be disaggregated with each accorded its own assessment and response.

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Pacific9DLChina, James Laurenceson, Australia, Xi Jinping, ASIO, Australian Security Intelligence Organisation, Andrew Chubb, Australian Strategic Policy Institute, ASPI, Huawei, Beijing, Thousand Talents Plan, The Australian, 9DASHLINE, CCP, Chinese Communist Party, Andrew Hastie, Canberra, Washington, Sydney, Boston, The Wall Street Journal, University of Queensland
US credibility at home and abroad
US credibility at home and abroad

Written by David Hutt

There is a deep sense of unease about America's actual place in world affairs. It is therefore worth considering whether American power, at home and abroad, appears weak or is weak.

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Pacific9DLDavid Hutt, 9dashline, biden, United States, Jimmy Carter, America, US Democracy, Afghanistan, Taiwan, Foreign Policy, Washington, china, US credibility at home and abroad, Green New Deal, South Korea, Japan, Chicago, Germany, Biden, Trump, Kabul, Middle East, South Asia, AUKUS, Philippines, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Italy, Britain, Ukraine, Russia, North Korea, Xi Jinping, Summit for Democracy, Korean War, Lonnie Henley, George Washington University, Central European Institute of Asian Studies
2022: The Quad, AUKUS and the future Indo-Pacific
2022: The Quad, AUKUS and the future Indo-Pacific

The reinvigoration of the Quad and the announcement of the AUKUS last year have been a subject of much consternation and debate. While they signal renewed diplomatic energy on Washington’s part, questions remain whether these initiatives will translate to meaningful policy and if they will promote or hinder a coherent Indo-Pacific strategy.

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Pacific9DL2022: The Quad, AUKUS and the future Indo-Pacific, AUKUS, Indo-Pacific, Martin Thorley, Dr Rebecca Strating, Rajeswari Pillai Rajagopalan, Murray Hiebert, Quad, 9DASHLINE, Japan, UK, United Kingdom, US, United States, China, Australia, South Korea, New Delhi, Russia, Moscow, Quad Plus, COVID-19, COVID, COVID19, Vietnam, Israel, Brazil, EU, European Union, ASEAN, Southeast Asia, Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, RCEP, La Trobe Asia, French Naval Group, Royal Navy, France, Asia, Shinzo Abe, Chinese Communist Party, CCP
Could minilateralism work in the South China Sea?
Could minilateralism work in the South China Sea?

Written by Huynh Tam Sang

The time is ripe for Indonesia and its counterparts to work closely and effectively. Leaders in Jakarta should forge a shared perception of unity among participants by highlighting the importance of working hand-in-hand as no country can navigate the South China Sea challenges alone.

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Pacific9DLIndo-Pacific, South China Sea, Nine Dash Line, China, Malaysia, ASEAN, Brunei, Philippines, Singapore, Vietnam, Beijing, Jakarta, Natuna Islands, EEZ, Exclusive Economic Zone, Permanent Court of Arbitration, Borneo, Kuala Lumpur, United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, UNCLOS, Bakamla, Indonesia
Solomon Islands stress: what happened, why and what does it all mean?
Solomon Islands stress: what happened, why and what does it all mean?

Written by Tess Newton Cain

The other development, which has received very little attention, was the reported departure of 140 “traumatised” Chinese nationals from the Solomon Islands by chartered flight to Guangzhou.

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Pacific9DL9DASHLINE, Tess Cain, Taiwan, China, Solomon Islands, PRC, Australia, New Zealand, Honiara, Manasseh Sogavare, Scott Morrison, Helpem Fren, RAMSI, Regional Assistance Mission to the Solomon Islands, Fiji, Royal Solomon Islands Police Force, RSIPF, People’s Republic of China, Guangzhou, Facebook, Townsville Peace Agreement, Truth and Reconciliation Commission, Malaita, Pacific, COVID, COVID19, COVID-19, Griffith Asia Institute
Maritime monitoring — AIS implications of China’s new data policy
Maritime monitoring — AIS implications of China’s new data policy

Written by Jamie Withorne

If Beijing categorises AIS as a data type subject to DSL, it should issue a clarification on how it plans to collaborate with the IMO and other international organisations on issues of AIS data.

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Pacific9DLChina, Jamie Withorne, 9DASHLINE, AIS, Automatic Identification System, Data Security Law, East Asia, International Maritime Organisation, Norway, MarineTraffic, IHS Sea-web, Windward, North Korea, DPRK, Royal United Services Institute, RUSI, Center for Advanced Defense Studies, South China Sea, Beijing
The Russian military build-up on Japan’s northern frontier
The Russian military build-up on Japan’s northern frontier

Written by James DJ Brown

Tokyo has little option but to stand firm, enhance cooperation with democratic partners, especially the United States, and demonstrate that Japan, while not acting aggressively, is closely monitoring Russian activities in its vicinity and is fully capable of defending its waters and airspace.

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Pacific9DL9DASHLINE, James DJ Brown, Russia, China, Japan, Kuril Islands, Shinzo Abe, Tokyo, Senkaku Islands, Soviet, World War 2, Northern Territories, Medvedev, Matua Island, T80BV, United States, SU-35, S300V4, Kunashir, Hokkaidō, Habomai, Signal’nyi, Zircon, Zircon hypersonic cruise missile, North Korea, DRPK, COld War, Far East, Japan’s Self-Defence Force, JSDF, Sea of Okhotsk, Northern Sea Route, Moscow, Arctic
Shaping China’s ambitions
Shaping China’s ambitions

Written by Michael J. Mazarr

China’s challenge to US power and international norms is very real, but so are its limitations. China is aggressive, but not unreservedly so. It has strong ambitions, but ones that may be amenable shaping and channelling in ways that do not end up threatening vital US interests.

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Pacific9DL9DASHLINE, China, US, United States, Cold War, Mearsheimer, Asia, Europe, Britain, Washington, economy, technology, East Asia, expansionist, PRC, hegemony, Nadège Rolland, Timothy Heath, William Thompson, Cuba, Vietnam, RAND Corporation, RAND
2022: Russia the other Pacific power
2022: Russia the other Pacific power

Even if Russia does not play a key role in the competition between the major powers of the Indo-Pacific right now, the country could become an indispensable partner in the future geopolitical constellations in this most significant geographical area.

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Pacific9DL9DASHLINE, Russia, Indo-Pacific, Pacific, Japan, Quad, China, US, United States, Ukraine, Natasha Kuhrt, South Korea, ASEAN, East Asia Summit, Pacific Fleet, Tokyo, Seoul, Philippines, Southeast Asia, Moscow, Vietnam, Washington, Human rights, EU, Europe, Joe Varner, Canada, Second World War, Baltic, Central Europe, Honshu, East China Sea, Tu-95, H-6, Kuril Islands, Matua, Caucasus, Central Asia, India, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Taiwan, Madagascar, Mozambique, Sudan, Indian Ocean, Dragonbear, AUKUS, New Delhi, BRI, Belt and Road Initiative, Thomas Bruce, Velina Tchakarova, Austrian Institute for Europe and International Security, AIES, Asia, Asean
2022: Does ASEAN have a leadership deficit?
2022: Does ASEAN have a leadership deficit?

Although Indonesia, which accounts for half of ASEAN’s size and wealth, is the natural leader of the grouping when it does not actively lead, the group is further weakened.

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Pacific9DL9dashline, Hunter Marston, Zachary Abuza, Susannah Patton, David Hutt, ASEAN, United States, China, Indonesia, Myanmar, Cambodia, Association of Southeast Asian Nations, Taiwan, America, Vietnam, Laos, New Cold War, Cold War, Trump, Obama, Pivot to Asia, Southeast Asia, Hun Sen, Thailand, Brunei, Central European Institute of Asian Studies, Japan, Australia, European Union, EU, India, Quad, coup d'etat, Myanmar Coup, Biden, Lowy Institute, South China Sea, indonesia
2022: Europe and the Indo-Pacific
2022: Europe and the Indo-Pacific

9DASHLINE invited a number of leading experts to explore the prospects for greater EU engagement with the geopolitical centre of gravity as several member states including Germany, France, and the Netherlands are now crafting independent Indo-Pacific strategies.

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Pacific9DL9DASHLINE, Maaike Okano-Heijmans, Indo-Pacific, Europe, EU, European Union, France, Germany, European Commission, Global Gateway initiative, Netherlands, Gulf of Guinea, ASEAN, EU-ASEAN, Indonesia, Singapore, South Korea, Czech Republic, france, Antoine Bondaz, Team Europe, cybersecurity, Sciences Po Paris, Recherche Stratégique, Christophe Penot, Gabriele Visentin, Libor Secka, Garima Mohan, German Marshall Fund, HNLMS Evertsen, Michael Reiterer, Centre for Security, Diplomacy and Strategy, Angela Stanzel, German Institute for International and Security Affairs, UK, United Kingdom
Italy's 'non-strategy' in the Indo-Pacific
Italy's 'non-strategy' in the Indo-Pacific

Written by Andrea Caligiuri

Italy’s ‘non-strategy’ in the Indo-Pacific is partly conditioned by the fact that Rome does not want an open confrontation with China. Rather, it seeks a pragmatic approach with Beijing.

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Pacific9DL9DASHLINE, Andrea Caligiuri, Europe, EU, European Union, China, US, United States, FONOPS, France, Germany, The Netherlands, Indo-Pacific, Mediterraneo allargato, Gulf of Guinea, Horn of Africa, Gulf of Aden, Mediterranean, Atlanticism, Europeanism, Indian Ocean, Belt and Road, Belt and Road Initiative, BRI, G7, South China Sea, East China Sea, UNCLOS, One China, Taiwan Strait, PRC, Beijing, Rome, COP26, ASEAN, EU-ASEAN, Vietnam, FTA, Free Trade Agreement, Comprehensive Air Transport Agreement, Indian Ocean Rim Association, IORA, Japan, Enrica Lexie Incident, G20, Australia, Antarctica, India, South Korea, Malaysia, Asia, Operation ATALANTA, Operation Ocean Shield, NATO, Regional Cooperation Agreement on Combating Piracy, ReCAAP, Luigi Di Maio, alliance of values, Navy
Imposing CAATSA sanctions threatens the Quad
Imposing CAATSA sanctions threatens the Quad

Written by Joshua Brannon

Whether through presidential waiver or the more comprehensive assurances afforded under Senator Cruz’s proposed CRUCIAL Act, India must be exempted from CAATSA sanctions if the Quad is to become an effective military counterweight to China in the Indo-Pacific.

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Pacific9DL9DASHLINE, Joshua Brannon, CAATSA, India, United States, US, China, Japan, Australia, CRUCIAL Act, Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act, Russia, Moscow, S-400, Biden, Biden administration, QUAD, Line of Actual Control, Indo-Pacific, France, Turkish, Rosoboronexport, ROE, F-35, NATO, Washington, Korea, South Korea, US-Korea Missile Guidelines
An enduring crisis: Assessing the state of Japan’s North Korea policy
An enduring crisis: Assessing the state of Japan’s North Korea policy

Written by Sebastian Maslow

With the US pushing its agenda of ‘integrated deterrence’ in Asia and North Korea testing new missiles, pressure on Japan to obtain capabilities to strike enemy bases will likely gain further momentum.

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Pacific9DL9DASHLINE, Sebastian Maslow, North Korea, Japan, Tokyo, Pyongyang, LDP, DPRK, Korean Peninsula, Axis of Evil, Northeast Asia, Article 9, Human Rights, Abe, ballistic missile defence, F-35, Aegis Ashore, Aegis, PAC-3, integrated deterrence, Kishida
Taiwan in Japan’s security puzzle: Abe’s 'uncontroversial' Taiwan statement  
Taiwan in Japan’s security puzzle: Abe’s 'uncontroversial' Taiwan statement  

Written by Stephen Nagy

This approach suggests that Tokyo and strong advocates of explicitly articulating Taiwan’s importance to Japan’s security (such as Abe) will see policy towards Taiwan and China through the lens of Japan’s economic security concerns.

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Pacific9DL9DASHLINE, Stephen Nagy, Shinzo Abe, Taiwan, China, United States, Taiwan Strait, ADIZ, Beijing, Washington, Japan, Tokyo, East China Sea, South China Sea, reunification, Sea lines of communication, CCP, Chinese Communist Party, One China Policy, Taro Aso, Hong Kong, Supply Chains, CPTTP, WTO, World Health Organisation, G7, Taipei
Russia's anti-satellite weapons test: A strategic flash in the pan
Russia's anti-satellite weapons test: A strategic flash in the pan

Written by Joe Varner

Needless to say not only does China want to protect its proxy against India but also bristles at any event that strategically places India on an equal footing with Beijing as it fights its psychological war for the hearts and minds of Central Asia and the Indo-Pacific.

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Pacific9DLASAT, A-SAT, International Space Station, Hybrid Warfare, 9DASHLINE, Joe Varner, Nato, US, United States, China, Russia, India, European Union, EU, Europe, United Nations, Indo-Pacific, Pakistan, Cold War, Sputnik, Bold Orion, Grey Zone, ASM-135, Moscow, Reagan, MRBM, Alaska, Hawaii, SM-3, Missiles, Japan, CubeSats, Boeing, X-37B, EMP, Electro-Magnetic Pulse, Fractional Orbital Bombardment System, Space, Central Europe, Ukraine
Assessing the Biden Administration’s policy toward the Indo-Pacific
Assessing the Biden Administration’s policy toward the Indo-Pacific

Written by Jacob Stokes

Biden’s prioritisation of allies and close partners could leave the rest of the region’s states unsure about their role and those of the region’s legacy multilateral institutions, such as ASEAN and the East Asia Summit.

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Pacific9DLJacob Stokes, 9DASHLINE, Indo-Pacific, Biden, Xi Jinping, Biden Doctrine, United States, China, Quad, Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, Asia, Europe, AUKUS, ASEAN, France, Afghanistan, Trump, geopolitics, Cold War, Antony Blinken, Washington, Beijing, Southeast Asia, South Asia, Vaccines, COVID, COVID19, America, Philippines, Japan, South Korea, Pentagon, North Korea, PRC, Water, CIA, CPTPP, Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership, East Asia, Thailand, Vietnam, Human Rights, Taiwan, Zhongnanhai, Center for a New American Security
Why the European Parliament’s support for Taiwan matters
Why the European Parliament’s support for Taiwan matters

Written by Zsuzsa Anna Ferenczy

The EU’s foreign and security policy is indeed driven by member states and any decision on EU policy concerning China and Taiwan, or any third country for that matter requires the unanimous support of all EU member states.

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Pacific9DL9DASHLINE, Zsuzsa Anna Ferenczy, Taiwan, European Union, European Parliament, Beijing, China, Brussels, Indo-Pacific, One China Policy, European Commission, Pacific, European External Action Service, INGE, Cyber, Raphaël Glucksmann, Audrey Tang, semiconductors, Europe, Bilateral Investment Agreement, Hilde Vautmans, EU-Taiwan Investment Forum