minilateral — 9DASHLINE

The transatlantic puzzle in the Indo-Pacific

Written by Mathieu Droin

The brewing Indo-Pacific architecture is inherently “flexilateral” due to the breadth of factors and the rapidly changing stakes that determine its many actors’ positions.

Europe and the Indo-Pacific9DLJune 28, 20239DashLine, The transatlantic puzzle in the Indo-Pacific, Mathieu Droin, European Union, Strategy for Cooperation in the Indo-Pacific, United States, United Kingdom, Australia, AUKUS, transatlantic, minilateral, Indo-Pacific, Japan, China, Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (Quad), India, strategy, flexilateral, Thucydides trap, geoeconomic, trade, geostrategic, ASEAN, ASEAN centrality, clubs, biannual EU-US high-level consultations on the Indo-Pacific, Washington, France, overseas territories, Indian Ocean, Pacific, strategic autonomy, puissance d’equilibres, power of balances, Indonesia, United Arab Emirates, Pacific Islands, Netherlands, Germany, Council of the EU, EU presidency, Italy, Rome, Tempest programme, Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, Raisina Dialogue, Denmark, maritime domain, Hungary, Chinese coercion, Lithuania, dependence, Berlin, Beijing, German Indo-Pacific strategy, Central and Eastern Europe, Xi, Putin, Czech Republic, Poland, Russia-China axis, NATO, EU Indo-Pacific forum, South Korea, New Zealand, President Macron, GLOBSEC Forum, North Macedonia, Sweden, Djibouti, Laos, transatlantic Quad, Anglo-Saxons, aspiring powers, rising powers, strategic autonomists, GCAP, Franco-Indian-UAE initiative, freedom to manoeuvre, Quaderateral Security Dialogue, Quad, EU, UK, Thucydides, Giorgia Meloni, Ukraine, Czech, Nato, GLOBSEC, NZ, UAE, CSIC, CSIS

2023: EU decoupling from China?

Such a move would suggest that Brussels was giving in to Washington’s demands instead of pursuing its own objectives. Perhaps counterintuitively, a decoupling from China would therefore be at odds with European calls for strategic autonomy.

Europe and the Indo-Pacific9DLJanuary 18, 20239dashline, 2023: EU decoupling from China, Agathe Demarais, Moritz Rudolf, Maximilian Mayer, Luke Patey, Angela Stanzel, EU, Europe, European Union, China, Beijing, US-China trade conflict, decoupling, strategic autonomy, trade partners, goods shortages, EU imports from China, Washington, Brussels, PRC, party-state, Chinese market, Chinese investments, capacity building, hegemonic competition, Biden Administration, technological development, interdependence, emerging technologies, economic sanctions, European economy, European diplomacy, minilateral, anti-coercion instrument, decoupling debate, European industries, green supply chains, electric vehicle production, green exports, European welfare, European decision-makers, European common market, economic integration, technological integration, Russia-Ukraine war, geostrategic dependencies, critical raw materials, green transition, digital transition, alternative partnerships, mutual interdependency, Taiwan-Strait

ASEAN enters 2023 in a moment of crisis

Written by Hunter Marston

Some experts suggest Indonesia is likely to propose adopting a seven-vote threshold instead of requiring all ten members to agree on passing a measure. This would go a long way to making the institution more agile, responsive, and decisive.

Southeast Asia9DLJanuary 17, 20239dashline, ASEAN prepares to enter 2023 in a moment of crisis, Hunter Marston, ASEAN, East Asia Summit, Phnom Penh, power competition, consensus, regional, Southeast Asian, Sino-US rivalry, democracy versus authoritarianism, coup in Myanmar, myanmar, China, USA, Indonesia, Cold War, Vietnam’s occupation of Cambodia, Vietnam, Cambodia, withdrawal of US forces from Thailand, Soviet, civil war in Myanmar, Five Point Consensus, bloc, ASEAN centrality, Singapore’s Foreign Minister Vivian Balakrishnan, Singapore, Myanmar military, junta, Myanmar Junta, Malaysian Foreign Minister Saifuddin Abdullah, Malaysia, Cambodia’s strongman Hun Sen, Senior General Min Aung Hlaing, Thailand, authoritarian, Indonesia’s Foreign Minister Retno Marsudi, Myanmar’s National Unity Government (NUG), Continental versus maritime Southeast Asia, Philippines, military junta, South China Sea, democracy, Laos, territorial claims in the East Sea, Code of Conduct for maritime disputes, Timor-Leste, United States, US-China rivalry, Hoang Thi Ha, Japan, Australia, minilateral, Quad, AUKUS, Great Power competition, US President Joe Biden, Washington, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Kremlin, United Nations, rules-based order, Outlook on the Indo-Pacific, diversity, 1991 Paris Peace Accords, military regime, Yangon, “CMLV” states, Asian Financial Crisis, trade, currency exchange regime, ASEAN’s convening power, ASEAN enters 2023 in a moment of crisis

The US-Japan Alliance and Europe: Furthering the existing web of trilaterals and minilaterals

Written by Alice Dell’Era

From Europe’s perspective, these potential trilateral and/or minilateral consultative mechanisms could give European actors the space to voice their own outlook, ensuring that European viewpoints are incorporated into Japanese and American perspectives.

Europe and the Indo-Pacific, East Asia9DLNovember 25, 20229DashLine, The US-Japan Alliance and Europe: Furthering the existing web of trilaterals and minilaterals, Alice Dell’Era, US-Japan, security partnership, Indo-Pacific Strategy, Cold War, Japan, US, United States, allies, bilateralism, bilateralism-plus, trilateral, minilateral, minilateral regional mechanisms, bilateral alliance, Republic of Korea, ROK, Australia, India, Europe, Biden administration, France, UK, Germany, Abe Cabinet, Arc of Freedom and Prosperity Initiative’, European partners, 2+2, dynamic strategic partnership, Japan-France Comprehensive Maritime Dialogue, Working Group on the Indo-Pacific, Reciprocal Access Agreement, RAA, extra-regional partner, Tokyo, Berlin, Acquisition and Cross-Servicing Agreement, defence, Franco-Japanese bilateral exercises, joint military training, goodwill training, Indo-Pacific deployment, Japan’s Air Self-Defence Force, ASDF, quadrilateral, Washington, La Perouse, ARC21, US-Japan 2021 ANNUALEX, ANNUALEX, US-Japan Alliance-Plus

The fate of the Indo-Pacific: Lessons from Ukraine and US diplomacy towards Taiwan

Written by Reuben Steff and Martin Jirušek

Should war or a system of neo-Cold War style blocs emerge, it will be US allies and partners in the Indo-Pacific that form the new frontlines and that have the most to lose.

Pacific9DLNovember 23, 20229DashLine, Reuben Steff, The fate of the Indo-Pacific: Lessons from Ukraine and US diplomacy towards Taiwan, Martin Jirušek, Taiwan, US National Security Strategy, geopolitics, Europe, Indo-Pacific, super-order, security order, rules-based institutionalism, Moscow, China, USA, diplomacy, military, rebalancing, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, China’s rise, Cold War, ‘hub-and-spoke’ system, alliance, Washington, networked’ security architecture, minilateral, multilateral, defence, allies, National Defense Strategy, Beijing, zero-sum, tit-for-tat, AUKUS trilateral security pact, Indo-Pacific Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (QUAD), Australia, UK, United Kingdom, Japan, India, containment, trade war, microchips, blocs, Southeast Asia, South Pacific, Middle East, shatterbelts, nuclear proliferation, southeast asia, confidence building, Kyiv, Emmanuel Macron, peace, France, Democratic Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, Taipei, Pentagon, White House, de-escalation, Joe Biden, President Biden, ‘One China’ policy, NATO, Admiral Philip Davidson, US Congress, Admiral Mike Gilday, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken, invasion, Michael Beckley and, Hal Brands, peaking power trap, UN

The EU’s self-perceived role in the Indo-Pacific — still a normative power?

Written by Phuong Mai Tran

Obviously, the EU must prioritise Europe’s defence. The important question here is whether its Indo-Pacific strategy would be affected as a result.

Pacific9DLSeptember 8, 20229DashLine, The EU’s self-perceived role in the Indo-Pacific — still a normative power?, Phuong Mai Tran, EU, European Union, Indo-Pacific, normative power, Indo-Pacific strategy, Brussels, geopolitical, France, Germany, The Netherlands, European Commission, EU High Representative, joint communication, military, Ursula von der Leyen, von der Leyen, Vice-President Borrell, Borrell, Josep Borrell, President von der Leyen, proactive cooperative power, strategic autonomy, democracy, rule of law, human rights, Human RIghts, sustainable development, Common Security and Defence Policy, CSDP, partnership, multi-dimensional, cooperative power, polarisation, ASEAN, minilateral, minilateralism, US, Japan, UK, Australia, India, China, Multilateralism, Global Gateway, trade, cyberattacks, like-minded partners, Indian Ocean, Russia, Ukraine, PHUONG MAI TRAN

Cyberspace and the DPRK: Evolving cyber strategy

Written by Abhishek Sharma

The DPRK’s targeting of US public and private organisations shows how far it will go to challenge the US. The (geo)political divide in technology will only make it more problematic.

East Asia9DLSeptember 2, 20229DASHLINE, Cyberspace and the DPRK: evolving cyber strategy, Abhishek Sharma, North Korea, DPRK, Nuclear weapons, south korea, US, US-ROK, united states, Korea, South Korea, Pyongyang, cyber, cyberspace, cyberattacks, cybercrime, Cyber warfare, Cyber attack, cybersecurity, Cyber, Cyber Attacks, juche, cyber capabilities, Japan, military, cyber operation, byungjin, Kim Jong-un, Kim Il-sung, Kim Jong-il, spying, Surveillance, espionage, sanctions, Cyber Warfare Guidance Unit (Bureau 121), Lazarus Group, Lazarus, non-state actors, technology, cyber strategy, Russia, China, computer, Northeast Asia, Sony Pictures Entertainment, cyber warriors, Sony, Bangladesh Central Bank, hacker, hackers, hack, FBI, crypto, cryptocurrency, Chainanalysis, blockchain, data, Data theft, Bithumb, KuCoin, Ethereum, Bitcoin, Axie Infinity, US Department of Treasury, Tornado Cash, UN Sanctions Panel Committee on North Korea, Intelligence, US Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, cyber threats, R.O.K., Anne Neuberger, Deputy National Security Advisor for Cyber and Emerging Technology, ROK-US Working Group Meeting on the DPRK Cyber Threat, Budapest Convention, allies, bilateral, minilateral, multilateral