Posts in South Asia
Sri Lanka’s economic crisis: A new regime, politics at play?

Written by Neha Gupta and Guido Cozzi

It is often observed that the dismal performance of a country on socio-economic-political indicators is indicative of the value extracting role of elites in that country and vice versa for the value contributing elites.

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The impact of the war in Ukraine on the Indian economy

Written by Anuttama Banerji

India has the opportunity to reassess its priorities and shift from being a fuel-dependent economy to a greener one, reducing its dependence on autocratic states.

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Sri Lanka in crisis: Why the past lives on in its collective future

Written by Ambika Satkunanathan

The determination of the Rajapaksas to stay in power seems partly due to their inability to comprehend protestors’ demands for accountability or to internalise their descent from god-like status to memes and jokes.

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Talking to all but tilting to one: India’s voting pattern at the UN

Written by Bashir Abbas

India’s abstentions during the present Ukraine crisis are occurring during the rule of the Bharatiya Janata Party, whose right-wing credentials are well established. The 2014 vote on Crimea occurred during the rule of its predecessor — the United Progressive Alliance, a centrist party with the Congress at its helm.

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As the focus on Myanmar fades Ukraine takes the spotlight

Written by Kristina Kironska

The military regime is worried that the Russian supply of hardware to Myanmar could slow down as it is now needed elsewhere. Moreover, Western financial sanctions on Russia are worrying for the junta as many generals and Myanmar’s arms dealers have bank accounts in Russia.

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Imran Khan — the end of a civilian dictator

Written by Ayesha Siddiqa

Indeed, in his political career spanning about two decades, he never learned the art of adjustment, honouring commitments, or following principles. He remained a good agitator, a master in building a popular narrative and catching people’s imagination, but without the capacity to deliver.

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India’s domestic manufacturing amidst COVID-19

Written by Akhil Bery

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic and ahead of the 2024 general elections, the Indian government needs to focus its efforts on job creation.

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Sri Lanka’s national economic crisis and its impact on foreign relations with China

Written by Rajni Gamage

Sri Lanka’s latest national economic crisis is also triggering a crisis in its foreign policy. The country’s government is compelled to diversify its foreign policy engagement in order to manage its relatively large foreign debt.

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With ASEAN Snub, Myanmar junta signals return to Cold War isolationism

Written by Hunter Marston

The junta knows it needs the support of Moscow and Beijing in the UN Security Council to prevent international action such as an arms embargo, which has failed to pass given their veto powers.

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Pakistan’s drift towards China: maintaining neutrality amid great power competition

Written by Namra Naseer

So far, Pakistan has not been the main arena of US-China competition. It need not become so, specifically if the country takes effective steps to improve bilateral relations with the United States and retain its autonomy in the growing ties with China.

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A perfect storm of crises: Afghanistan in 2022

Written by Tim Foxley

The Taliban’s seizure of power and the sheer speed of government collapse took everyone by surprise. The international community, Afghanistan’s neighbourhood, and the Afghan population themselves are now attempting to understand and address the implications of a Taliban regime.

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Disinformation and democratic backsliding: India’s Facebook problem

Written by Raju Rajagopal, Nikhil Mandalaparthy

Despite a handful of statements from Facebook and its much publicised Oversight Board, it seems unlikely that Facebook will make any significant changes with regard to India, out of fear of upsetting the Modi government.

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What China’s assertive actions mean for the India-China border

Written by Rahul Bhatia

Beijing is keen to maintain its edge in border infrastructure and is in no rush to clarify the LAC, as it believes that an unsettled border will keep India limited to the region and prevent New Delhi from projecting its power globally.

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Myanmar’s divided state leaves thousands of its people in the lurch

Written by Hunter Marston

Until some sort of political solution is achieved, Myanmar’s civilian population will remain torn between the current chaos of poverty and armed conflict on the one hand, and an as-yet-unrealised future built on principles of democracy and federalism towards which they are striving.

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The politics of Taliban recognition

Written by Michael Kugelman

For the United States, giving Kabul access to aid — including nearly USD $10 billion in foreign reserves frozen by Washington — is hard to justify without recognising the regime.

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Sri Lanka: Navigating geopolitics, regional asymmetry, and a national crisis

Written by Nilanthi Samaranayake

Outreach to address COVID-19 economic distress perpetuates the inaccurate perception that Sri Lanka is heavily indebted to China and is therefore prone to advancing Beijing’s geostrategic ambitions.

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The Pakistani Taliban is reinventing itself

Written by Amira Jadoon and Abdul Sayed

The TTP leadership views the Afghan Taliban victory as a win for jihadists in general and has been emboldened by it. This is reflected in its messages directed to its members, who are encouraged to continue their fight against Pakistan for a similar victory there.

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Afghanistan continues to pose a traditional and non-traditional security threat

Written by Nilofar Sakhi

As the Taliban increases its stronghold and gains more territory and power, it will become a serious transnational threat. Radicalisation, the emergence of new terrorist groups, and arms trafficking will likely increase, adding to local security threats.

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