Posts tagged Nuclear
AUKUS and Australia’s domestic opinion

Written by Sian Troath

Whether people oppose the acquisition of nuclear-powered submarines, have mixed views, or support it, they often do ground their assessments in strategic analysis and a consideration of other priorities.

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’We’re going through changes’ – What Xi meant when he spoke to Putin

Written by Dr Kerry Brown

In this context, the one positive Russia offers to China is that it does not belong to the Western bloc. Xi’s seemingly warm words to Putin are an acknowledgement that his enemy’s enemy is his friend.

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Resets and challenges: Implications of Australia’s 2022 federal election

Written by Sian Troath

Labor has made it quite clear that they see the value in diplomacy and soft power, the former of which languished under the previous government while the latter was openly derided.

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The RS-28 Sarmat: Russia’s Satan II

Written by Joe Varner

When asking whether it is a deterrence game-changer in the short and long run, the answer is likely no. To counter the Sarmat, Washington can move more and more of its vulnerable land-based deterrent to the US sea-based portion of the triad and onto submarines.

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The day the music stopped

Written by Jana C. von Dessien

The Western strategy has reached its limits: switching between realpolitik and moral superiority at one’s own discretion no longer comes without massive costs.

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Canada: The missing AUKUS member

Written by Moez Hayat

Canada’s omission from the AUKUS defence partnership is a missed opportunity for both Washington and Ottawa to leverage their longstanding alliance as relevant powers in the Indo-Pacific.

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What Kim Jong-un’s diplomacy tells us about Sino-NK relations

Written by Darcie Draudt

Looking forward to when the pandemic winds down, China will likely test the appetite in Pyongyang for bilateral and even multilateral meetings on denuclearisation and sanctions relief, especially at the working level.

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China’s new ‘space vehicle’

Written by Joe Varner

This is more about an aggressive hegemonic China's conventional warfighting capabilities and ensuring they have free reign in the Western Pacific against states like Taiwan without facing the prospect of nuclear war.

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Heating up: An arms race on the Korean Peninsula

Written by Joe Varner

North Korea, on the other hand, has in the last month made clear it is going nowhere. It is bound and determined to hold Washington’s feet to the fire, holding its bases in the region, US cities and their populations hostage now and for the foreseeable future.

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India and the BRICS: Confused signalling on China

Written by Jabin T Jacob

Under the circumstances, third countries with no skin in the game but possessing a crucial vote in the UN General Assembly or asked to make a choice might be forgiven for not taking India seriously when it complains about China.

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China’s expanding nuclear forces

Written by Gerald C. Brown

If China adopts a launch-on-warning posture that could cause substantial damage to the United States regardless of arsenal size, nuclear weapons are also unlikely to be enough to deter conventional conflicts outside the United States.

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A renewed Atlantic Charter: Rekindling a wartime spirit between the US and UK?

Written by Amelia Hadfield and William Hitt

It reaffirms the anchor points of trans-Atlantic security alongside the values of democracy and human rights, but whether it can roll in all of Europe in this call as well as representing a clear challenge to rising antagonists remains to be seen.

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Denuclearisation means regime change in North Korea

Written by Benedikt Christoph Staar

North Korea’s neighbours are not too keen on denuclearisation either. Admittedly, neither China nor Russia benefits from a nuclear-armed North Korea because it causes regional insecurity at best and unforeseeable political and economic damage at worst.

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'Deterrence and stern diplomacy': where do we go from here?

Written by Edward Howell

Growing tensions in Sino-US relations vis-à-vis Taiwan and the treatment of Uyghur minorities in Xinjiang only underscore the Biden administration’s policy of maintaining stability over the possible unintended consequences of any attempt to reach out to Kim Jong-un.

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North Korea expected to strengthen its nuclear deterrent

Written by Gabriela Bernal

Given that Kim Jong Un has kept quiet and away from the spotlight for most of 2020, the statements made during the Congress call for considerable analysis by the incoming US administration. Biden and his team must formulate a clear strategy to deal with North Korea from the very beginning, lest they wait too long and miss the opportunity for diplomacy altogether.

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