Posts in Pacific
Australia faces a contested region

Written by Nick Bisley

Whether others follow the example Australia has set, placing the military at the heart of regional policy, will be key to determining Asia’s emerging strategic landscape. Thus far even Japan, which has much greater clashes of interests with China, has not gone as far as Canberra.

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US Secretary of Defense signals resolve and return of values to Washington’s Indo-Pacific strategy

Written by Hunter Marston

It will take more than lofty speeches to bolster a shaky alliance with Manila and to raise the partnership with Hanoi to the next level, and an economic strategy, so far absent, should accompany a military presence if Washington is serious about reducing Beijing’s influence.

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Asia-Pacific space sector development should leverage comparative advantages

Written by Nicholas Borroz

Uplinking must relay instructions to spacecraft, and downlinking is required to turn the data they collect into valuable services. The communications segment has high barriers to entry, but if one can stomach the wherewithal required to enter it, then one can tap into a captive market.

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Japan’s vaccine diplomacy: Quality over quantity

Written by Phan Xuan Dung and Wichuta Teeratanabodee

Japan’s AstraZeneca provision stood out compared to China, thanks to its perceived better quality. In addition, China’s soft power has been seriously undermined by an assertion of hard power in territorial disputes and coercive diplomacy against states that refuse to toe its line.

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The influence of domestic politics on Australia’s China policy

Written by Kate Clayton

One of the unexpected side effects of the tariffs is that by diversifying its trade, Australia now has less at stake in maintaining good relations with China. This should see Australia becoming more confident in its China policy.

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Australia and New Zealand: Approaches to maritime security strategy

Written by Bec Strating

In an age where great power rivalry and challenges to regional stability and rules in the maritime domain are contributing to a rapidly transforming regional security order, it is time for Australia to develop a standalone maritime security strategy.

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From the Wuhan Consensus to the Moscow Agreement: Unlocking the India-China conundrum

Written by Archana Atmakuri

The Galwan Valley clash marked the end of the Wuhan-Chennai consensus which had raised hopes that India and China would discuss and resolve deep misunderstandings, however, informal summits failed to prevent the recent tensions in Ladakh.

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Washington and Tokyo’s old alliance for a new era: Changing strategic priorities and expectations

Written by Monika Chansoria

Any potential reconsideration on the Okinawa bases will likely have a cascading effect on the US-Japan alliance and Tokyo’s national security strategy at large. After all, Okinawa is not merely a peripheral Japanese prefecture, but the lynchpin of American and Japanese strategic positioning in the East China Sea.

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Decentering ASEAN in the Quad’s Indo-Pacific strategy

Written by Rohan Mukherjee

ASEAN can then continue to hold together and take a middle path, offering security cooperation to the Quad, economic cooperation to China, and institutionalised opportunities for diplomacy all around. The Quad for its part can continue growing its footprint without maintaining the pretence of ASEAN centrality and the need to convince smaller regional states to irrationally become the tip of the spear aimed at China.

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Standing up to China could help bring Lithuania, the EU and Taiwan closer together

Written by Zsuzsa Anna Ferenczy

Lithuania’s decision to open an office in Taiwan sets a precedent for Latvia and Estonia, neighbours who face similar threats from China — and Russia — and must urgently address similar vulnerabilities at home.

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Burmese blowback: Prayuth’s myopic Myanmar policy

Written by Zachary Abuza

Myanmar might not be a failed state yet, but it is teetering towards becoming one. And the capture of the state by EAOs and transnational syndicates will impact Thai security for years to come.

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Beijing’s ambivalence about the coup in Myanmar

Written by Murray Heibert

Beijing is unlikely to step up its role in Myanmar unless there is a sudden and massive outpouring of refugees across the border into China or opponents of the junta begin threatening Chinese infrastructure in the country.

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India’s disastrous second wave: Slick PR can’t save a sick country

Written by Manali Kumar

On-the-ground stories of inadequate testing and outright manipulation of test results lend credence to findings from the IHME’s latest modelling: the true extent of the pandemic may in fact be about 6.76 million cases per day.

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US-China relations: Biden’s first 100 Days

Written by Beverley Loke

On the whole, Biden has demonstrated consistency between discourse and deeds. His achievements in renewing America’s global role and rejuvenating a liberal rules-based order undergirded by Washington’s leadership have not been trivial.

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Canada: Time to reset its Indo-Pacific approach

Written by Joe Varner

Nevertheless, a golden opportunity exists for Canada in the aftermath of the recent Quad anti-submarine warfare exercise to put itself forward to join the Quad, but the question is — given its spotty performance to date — will Canada be welcome?

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Testing the Quad’s support for Taiwan

Written by Huynh Tam Sang

A Quad-aligned security umbrella with Taiwan’s security as one of the top priorities would also assure Taiwan of the grouping’s commitment to supporting the island. Additionally, the security and defence alignment framework would be a firm signal to Beijing that the Quad is not merely a talking shop, but a mode of security multilateralism in the making.

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