Party Congress — 9DASHLINE

Road to nowhere? Prospects for the BRI in 2023 and beyond

Written by Philip Lott

With increased competition from the EU and the G7, as well as recent readjustments of the Belt and Road Initiative’s scope and spending, one question remains: will China’s “project of a century” be short-lived?

Faultlines9DLJanuary 24, 20239dashline, Philip Lott, Road to nowhere? Prospects of the BRI in 2023 and beyond, China, Beijing, Belt and Road Initiative, BRI, exports, soft connectivity, hard connectivity, Memorandums of Understanding, Xi Jinping, international development spending, EU, G7, Green Finance and Development Centre, GFDC, Africa, accountability, corruption scandals, labour rights, environmental protection regulations, public pushback, debt trap, local infrastructure, Chinese influence, China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, Southeast Asia, zero-covid strategy, private-sector initiatives, infrastructure projects, Chinese leadership, Wang Yi, Global Development Initiative, GDI, Global Security Initiative, GSI, Party Congress, foreign policy heirarchy, loans, Export-Import Bank of China, EXIM, European banks, US banks, International Development Finance Corporation, DFC, connectivity initiatives, geopolitical landscape, EU’s Global Gateway, Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment, Build Back Better World, B3W, investment

The problem is not a power transition

Written by Michael J. Mazarr

The US-China relationship is not accurately captured as a power transition, but it is a clash of an often self-righteous leading power and a dissatisfied challenger. That recipe is one of the most combustible in world politics.

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Slowing the escalatory spiral over Taiwan

Written by Amanda Hsiao and Ivy Kwek

A long-lasting solution on Taiwan will be difficult to realise anytime soon. However, avoiding miscalculation and slowing the escalatory spiral that the parties are currently engaged in are achievable outcomes that Taipei, Washington, and Beijing should prioritise.

East Asia9DLSeptember 29, 20229DashLine, Slowing the escalatory spiral over Taiwan, Amanda Hsiao, Ivy Kwek, Taiwan, China, US, USA, escalatory spiral, escalation, Washington, Beijing, Taipei, US-China rivalry, US-China competition, US-China relations, military, military exercise, reunification, one China, one Taiwan, US-Taiwan relations, US Speaker Nancy Pelosi, Nancy Pelosi, cyberattacks, sanctions, Taiwanese, Chinese, sovereignty, Pelosi’s visit, median line, maritime, navy, airspace, drone, drones, human error, Pacific, US-Taiwan engagement, defence, defence spending, arms sale, arms package, Biden administration, Biden, Joe Biden, Central Asia, United Nations, 20th Party Congress, Party Congress, propaganda, Xi, Xi Jinping, amphibious invasion, amphibious, military intervention, Trump, Trump administration, Japan’s Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ), Japan, Yonaguni Island, Philippines’ EEZ, Philippines, Manila, Taiwan conflict, Taiwan Strait, escalatory cycle, deter, deterrence, One China policy, One China Policy, One China, One-China, One-China Policy, Three Communiques, US Congress, Taiwan Policy Act

The People’s Liberation Army: Xi’s power base in the Communist Party Central Committee

Written by Manoj Kewalramani and Megha Pardhi

Ahead of the 20th Party Congress, and given the importance of the military in solidifying the CCP’s power, tracking changes in the representation of the People's Liberation Army in the Party Central Committee is important to understand Xi Jinping’s power base.

The politics of Shanghai’s lockdown

Written by Eric Hundman

Disagreements between officials who rise through Shanghai’s ‘political hotbed’ and those in other factions have long been key to understanding the intra-CCP political dynamics and personnel shifts so important for determining policy outcomes.