Written by Charles Dunst
Upon Hun Sen’s death or incapacitation, public anger—the result of his closeness with China and failure to address corruption, a lack of jobs, and lagging development—could converge with elite discontent to topple Hun Manet, the strongman’s eldest son and successor.
Read MoreWritten by Sanjay Pulipaka and Mohit Musaddi
Chinese scholars reportedly made a case for Tajikistan to 'return’ the Pamir region, which once ‘belonged to China’. This perhaps is a signal that Beijing is keen to develop greater control of territories adjoining the troubled provinces of Xinjiang and Tibet.
Read MoreWritten by David Hutt and Bradley J. Murg
Reliance on China for Cambodia’s economic recovery is likely to further fuel anti-China sentiment in the country – with pre-COVID-19 patterns of anti-China, nationalist discourse returning and strengthening.
Read MoreWritten by Amelia Hadfield and Chris Logie
Driven by massive suburban shifts, including shifts driven by women voters and wider demographic changes, Georgia and Texas have together shifted towards Biden.
Read MoreWritten by James Kraska
Both Trump and Biden consider China a vexing issue for the United States, they diverge on how to address it. A Biden administration would continue building deterrence through asymmetric power and enduring relationships among like-minded states, but with a less belligerent tone than the Trump administration.
Read MoreWritten by Raul ‘Pete’ Pedrozo
As China continues to leverage its military modernisation and predatory economic policies to achieve regional hegemony, a second Trump administration would remain committed to upholding a free and open Indo-Pacific that provides prosperity and security for all nations, large and small.
Read MoreWritten by Angshuman Choudhury
COVID-19 cases in Myanmar have grown rapidly since the end of August. Although postponing the election has so far been ruled out, the government is scrambling to contain the virus. What’s more, the dramatic spurt began in arguably the most strife-torn region in the country today, Rakhine State.
Read MoreWritten by David Hutt
Anti-China nationalism has grown more potent and politically important in Vietnam in recent years, and it could impact relations between both countries’ respective communist parties. It might also lead to an escalation of tensions in the South China Sea, as the VCP feels a greater need to give into nationalist cries and rebuff its far stronger adversary.
Read MoreWritten by Drake Long
The new US policy should be viewed as one more part of a coordinated effort across multiple governments to push back against China’s claims with similar diplomatic approaches and language, emphasising UNCLOS and the 2016 PCA award specifically.
Read MoreWritten by Tam-Sang Huynh
The pattern of increasing assertiveness by Chinese vessels in Vietnamese waters and the attendant changes in Sino-Vietnamese relations have produced a deliberate policy change, with Vietnam now tilting diplomatically towards the United States.
Read MoreWritten by Sari Arho Havrén
In terms of human rights and freedoms, Hong Kong’s future looks bleak, and as if the current National Security Law was not enough, Beijing has already signalled that it could draft more laws for Hong Kong in order to safeguard it’s national security in the future.
Read MoreWritten by Alan Tidwell
The Morrison government sees a sharpening of the strategic competition between the US and China and signals a continued deepening of the American alliance. At the same time, the Update also points to other like-minded partners, such as Japan and Singapore, with whom Australia can work with.
Read MoreWritten by Megha Pardhi
India’s development cooperation initiatives reveal New Delhi’s priorities. Although the largest number of projects financed through lines of credit are in Africa, the total amount allocated is highest in India's neighbourhood of South Asia.
Read MoreWritten by Charles Dunst
The Mekong, thanks to the level of Chinese control, is well on its way to becoming the next South China Sea: a strategic body of water to which China maintains expansive claims and over which it increasingly exercises control.
Read MoreWritten by Shreya Sinha
It is becoming increasingly important for the European Union to weave the path between China and the US. The EU can play a key role in avoiding a new Cold War between Beijing and Washington by refusing to participate in it.
Read MoreWritten by Rajeswari Pillai Rajagopalan
The situation on the Sino-Indian border is unclear, however if China has indeed built roads and checkposts beyond the Line of Actual Control, India faces a fait accompli. New Delhi faces the choice of either escalating or accepting the new reality on the ground.
Read MoreWritten by Melissa Conley Tyler and Pravin Silva
China’s return has profound implications for Australia. Australia’s security has long benefitted from its remoteness. This advantage would be threatened by the prospect of an ambitious power maintaining a military presence in the South Pacific.
Read MoreWritten by Kashoon Leeza
The rise of Hindutva nationalism in India is leading to a reciprocal Muslim nationalism in Pakistan. With both India and Pakistan playing the blame-game, while bolstering their own rhetoric, nationalist discourses are overtaking ties between South Asia’s nuclear armed rivals.
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