Posts in East Asia
What does the Biden Administration mean for Taiwan?

Written by Douglas H Paal

That Biden had spent more time than any US official with China’s Xi Jinping, despite recent campaign rhetoric, reinforced the concern that Biden may be less effective against China. This is a concern which will linger through at least the early months of Biden’s term of office.

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China enters 2021 a stronger, more influential power — and Australia may feel the squeeze even more

Written by James Laurenceson

Tokyo, New Delhi, and Jakarta have all had serious challenges with Beijing, but their relations never fell to the depths of the current China-Australia tensions. These countries might offer some useful advice here, too.

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Heavy hand of China is prompting fears for Hong Kong’s future as a major business hub

Written by Leïla Choukroune

The days of ‘one country two systems’ — which is supposed to allow for Hong Kong’s specific legal status — appear to be long gone. This will inevitably have repercussions for the territory’s status as an important business and legal hub.

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Taiwan's democratic journey and stabilising national identity

Written by Sense Hofstede

Some critical observers warn that Taipei will inevitably have to deal with the unyielding demands of Chinese nationalism. But that is not the only reality that has to be faced. Beijing must also face the reality of the Taiwanese nation.

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The time for building democracy in Hong Kong was before Britain handed over to China – now it may be too late

Written by Andreas Fulda

The demise of the ‘one country, two systems’ formula raises the question whether this descent into authoritarianism could have been prevented. Would the situation today be different if the UK had done more to institutionalise democracy prior to the 1997 handover?

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China-Nepal territorial tensions: Lessons from history

Written by Sanjay Pulipaka and Mohit Musaddi

Chinese scholars reportedly made a case for Tajikistan to 'return’ the Pamir region, which once ‘belonged to China’. This perhaps is a signal that Beijing is keen to develop greater control of territories adjoining the troubled provinces of Xinjiang and Tibet.

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North Korea: A ceaseless rise and the battle for succession

Written by Joe Varner

Differences between the current White House and an incoming Biden administration could be thrown into sharp relief in response to an ICBM test-fire by the North, as one is charged (even in its dying days) with protecting the US, while the other is chomping at the bit to set a new course in two months time.

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From bargaining chip to regional partner: Taiwan-US relations post 2020 election

Written by Kuan-Ting Chen

Whoever occupies the White House after November has now clearly experienced first-hand that Taiwan can indeed help. With enough work already carried out here in Taipei, Washington has an unparalleled opportunity to elevate the status of this small but mighty nation to a regional leader — in line with its own goals for engagement with the Indo-Pacific region.

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Hostage diplomacy: Canada's China rethink

Written by Grant Wyeth

Aggrieved at Canada’s arrest of Huawei executive Meng Wangzhou (under its extradition treaty with the United States), China has taken Kovrig and Spavor hostage in the hope of bullying Canada into her release. For nine months, Beijing has prevented any consular visits to the two men, despite a bilateral agreement that stipulates monthly visits.

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Does COVID-19 and potential US presidential transition place Taiwan in jeopardy

Written by Joe Varner

A bipartisan statement of support for Taiwan by President Trump and Democratic candidate for President Joe Biden cautioning Beijing about aggression and adventure would be a credible sign of national resolve and that President Xi Jinping’s window for action is closed no matter who is in power at the White House.

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US-China decoupling: Interdependence limits economic delinking

Written by Stephen Nagy and Hanh Nguyen

Surveys conducted by American and European Union Chambers of Commerce showed that more than 80 per cent of businesses do not have relocation plans. Despite rising labour costs and geopolitical tensions, China still holds several critical advantages — high-skilled labour, a giant market, adequate infrastructure, and complex supply chains for business.

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South Korea’s Green New Deal shows the world what a smart economic recovery looks like

Written by Sung-Young Kim, Elizabeth Thurbon, Hao Tan and John Mathews

South Korea’s economy has been hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic. In particular, its export industries dropped by 24 per cent in May as demand for the nation’s mainstay products fell away. In response, Korean President Moon Jae-in launched the Korean New Deal or “K-New Deal”.

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