Posts tagged Leonardo Morreale
A signal, Not A Spearhead: Russia’s Kuril Message And Japan’s Northern Front

Written by Leonardo Morreale

Putin's August 2026 visit to the disputed Kuril Islands, combined with Russia's fortification of the chain and its growing military coordination with China, signals a defensive freeze rather than a springboard for attack. As Japan reorients southwards, the north remains a second front that will not close, a standing cost even if the shot is never fired.

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Two navies, no war: the untested balance in the East China Sea

Written by Leonardo Morreale

In a first clash, both China and Japan would be learning the most expensive lessons in real time, and the side that adapts faster, not the side with more hulls, would likely prevail.

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